Peacebuilding in Sudan: Micro- Macro Issues

Secession and Precedent in Sudan and Africa

USIP Peacebrief No 68 2010

The combination of factors giving Southern Sudanese the option to secede is unlikely to be repeated elsewhere in Africa any time soon.

Summary

  • African leaders have recently expressed concern that the possible division of Sudan may lead to a domino effect of other secessions on the continent—but closer analysis questions how likely this may be
  • Africa’s borders are largely accepted; it is only a distinct few cases (including Sudan) in which they could be reconsidered
  • While there are many secession movements in Africa, most are weak and few stand a real chance of success, or have the international support they would need to advance their cause. This minimizes the likelihood of a wave of follow-on secessions if Southern Sudan chooses to secede.


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Allahu Akbar: A Friday in Khartoum
I am sipping to my coffee as I am listening to the local imam through the loudspeaker as he addresses his congregation inside the mosque.

Ikke mer fred å få
Ingen viktige fredsavtaler er inngått i verden de siste åtte årene. De fleste «intern-konflikter» er ikke det de gir seg ut for å være. De er deler av internasjonale konfliktsystemer der eksterne aktører spiller helt sentrale roller, skriver Gunnar M. Sørbø i en utenriksanalyse i Morgenbladet.

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