Economic Prospects for Ethiopia and Challenges for Poverty Reduction
The report analyses Ethiopia's economic performance and expected future development. The economic growth rate is likely to remain high despite large fluctuations in agricultural production. Projections indicate, however, that Government's target of 7 % growth for 2006 is around 2 percentage points too high. Higher growth rates are expected if political polarization in Ethiopia is reduced. The rising inflation has been a source of concern, but price increases now seem to be under control. The increase in oil prices and the suspension of Direct Budget Support by donors are other factors straining the Ethiopian economy. In this situation with scarce foreign exchange, the removal of petrol subsidies seems warranted.
Furthermore, challenges for the Ethiopian poverty reduction strategy (PASDEP) are discussed. The PASDEP clearly links growth strategies to poverty reduction, and the poverty analysis in the document is coherent with the strategies outlined. However, distributional issues seem to be overlooked and further analysis is needed to identify which groups will benefit from the proposed policies and which groups will lag behind.
The report, commissioned by the Norwegian Embassy in Addis Ababa, points at the following main issues for the Embassy to follow up:
- Assess Norway's potential for fostering institutions for exploring and developing the energy sector in Ethiopia
- Monitor the efforts by donors to close the financing gap in the PASDEP
- Address the importance of maintaining peace and stability for economic performance in general, and for the tourist industry in particular
- Address the inefficiencies of user fees in primary education
- Commission a study of distributional effects of implementing the PASDEP
- Commission a study of the impact of the suspension of Direct Budget Support
Can Smallholders benefit from the new market opportunities from the extractive industry in Tanzania?
Sosina Bezu, Espen Villanger, Abel Alfred Kinyondo
Life skills in non-formal contexts for adolescent girls in developing countries
Kendra Dupuy, Sosina Bezu, Are Knudsen, Sandra Halvorsen, Christina Kwauk (Brookings Institution), Amanda Braga (Brookings Institution), Helyn Kim (Brookings Institution)
Prospects for peace in a petro-state: Gas extraction and participation in violence in Tanzania
Andreas Stølan, Benjamin Engebretsen, Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge, Vincent Somville, Cornel Jahari, Kendra Dupuy
Active private sector development policies revisited: Impacts of the Ethiopian industrial cluster policy
Tigabu Getahun and Espen Villanger
Journal of Development Studies
Review of the realisation of Norway’s “Strategy for intensifying international efforts for the elimination of female genital mutilation for the period 2014–2017”
Evaluation of Norwegian support to civil society through Norwegian organisations. Report from presentation seminars in Nepal and Ethiopia. April 2018
Elling N Tjønneland, Kanta Singh, Yeraswork Admassie